Futures, Damned Futures, and Statistics – Long Term Scenarios Flowing From The Farrer By-Election
My initial short list of scenarios:
1/ My agreement with Kos is wrong and seats in urban Australia can be won by One Nation.
2/ The demographic differences further fragment Australian politics into multiple political blocs: Labor, Liberal, Teal, Greens, One Nation with Labor as the medium-term dominant grouping (I need to come up with a snappier name).
3/ The Coalition fights back (hard to see that happening but that may be just my biases which need challenging).